ARPA07distribute

Information about ARPA07distribute

Published on April 9, 2008

Author: WoodRock

Source: authorstream.com

Content

Slide1:  Update & Outlook: After the Housing Boom ARPA Convention June 21, 2007 Slide2:  3 Major Trends Worry Meter US Outlook AZ Outlook Economic Update & Outlook Unstoppable Trend #1:  Unstoppable Trend #1 The Global Economy Unstoppable Trend #1:  Unstoppable Trend #1 The Global Economy Culture Jobs Suppliers Customers Competitors Slide5:  China economy soars 9.9% in '05 Strength in exports and investment keep GDP expanding at rapid clip; confidence about 2006. January 25, 2006: 6:40 AM EST BEIJING (Reuters) - China's gross domestic product grew 9.9 percent in 2005 and at the same annual rate in the last quarter, riding high on strength in exports and investment, the National Bureau of Statistics said Wednesday. The economy grew 10.1 percent in 2004 and 10.0 percent in 2003, the bureau said. Slide6:  1990 2005 1980 European Union 22.1% 25.4% 25.5% China 5.0% 1.6% 1.7% United States 26.5% 28.2% 25.4% Source: World Bank U. S. Share of World GDP Slide7:  World GDP & United States http://strangemaps.wordpress.com/ Unstoppable Trend # 2:  Unstoppable Trend # 2 In the Long Run We Are Older Unstoppable Trend # 2:  In the Long Run We Are Older Culture Work Medical Care Pensions Housing Immigration Unstoppable Trend # 2 The Long Term Economic Challenge: Labor Shortages:  The Long Term Economic Challenge: Labor Shortages 50 million retirees 2010 - 2030 Thousands of Births Births The Long Term Economic Challenge: Labor Shortages:  The Long Term Economic Challenge: Labor Shortages After 2010 10,000 People Turn 65 EVERY DAY OF THE YEAR! Unstoppable Trend # 3:  Americans On The MOVE! Unstoppable Trend # 3 Unstoppable Trend # 3:  Unstoppable Trend # 3 People Jobs Housing Commercial Public Sector Americans On The MOVE! Slide14:  1 8 2 4 5 3 US Census Bureau 6 Alaska 9 7 10 7 of Top 10 Fastest Growth States for 25 Years in West Percent Change: 1980 - 2005 Slide15:  1 7 2 5 6 3 4 8 US Census Bureau 13 25 10 12 19 17 11 Arizona First in Population Growth in 2006 Percent Change 2006 vs 2005 9 Slide16:  Trends Benefit the West Global Trade Population Job Growth Incomes Diversity Slide17:  (Percent Change 2006 vs 2005) 9 2 8 1 3 4 21 5 6 Arizona Led the Nation In Job Creation: 2006 16 7 10 U. S. BLS Slide18:  (Percent Change April 2007 vs April 2006 8 5 9 2 4 1 16 3 Utah, Arizona Set Over-the-year Job Growth Pace in April 13 6 10 7 U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 11 15 17 20 Slide19:  Arizona has ranked among the top 5 job growth states for 43 consecutive months Consistent Job Creation In 2006 Arizona added 134,800 new jobs – an average of 10,000 + per month Slide20:  Metro Phoenix: More New Jobs Than 46 States in 2006 U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006 Slide21:  Worry #1: Recession Watch Slide22:  U. S Economy Slowing Slide23:  GDP – Quarterly Percent Change Yr/Yr No Growth Slide25:  U. S. Economic Sectors Slide26:  Personal Saving Rate Hits Bottom Slide29:  Quarterly GDP to Improve In Second Half of 2007 2006 2007 Blue Chip Consensus, June 2007 Slide30:  Recession odds next 12 months? 25% or 1 in 4 Blue Chip Consensus, April 2007 Survey of 50 Top Economists Economic Outlook: U. S. GDP:  Economic Outlook: U. S. GDP Annual Percent Growth In Real GDP Blue Chip Consensus, June 2007 Slide32:  GDP growth dips below 3% Consumers cut back spending Housing takes 1% off GDP But recession signals are weak Will rate hikes reverse in 2007? U. S Outlook Summary Slide33:  Worry # 2: Housing Market How bad will it get? 1980s? 1990s? 2001? Slide34:  Then and Now – Phoenix Single Family Resales Source: Phoenix MLS & R L Brown Slide35:  Phoenix Metro Residential Resale Frenzy Subsides: Getting Back to “Normal?” 70,000 ? Slide36:  Phoenix Metro New Permits: Getting Back to “Normal?” X Slide38:  Construction Spending Annual Rates - April 2007 vs April 2006 Source:US Census Bureau Slide39:  Worry # 3: Sub Prime Loans Affects Lenders Bond Holders Borrowers Markets Slide41:  “…six in ten Americans think the problems in the subprime mortgage market will spill over into the overall mortgage market…” Slide42:  U.S. Mortgage Facts 43 million home loans 33 million prime 6 million subprime 4 million government Current foreclosure rate is 1.2% (about 500,000 loans) Slide44:  2006 Real GDP 2.9% Employment 1.9% 1.1% Inflation (CPI) 3.2% 2.5% 30 yr Mortgage 6.4% 6.8% 3.3% 2008 2007 2.1% 1.3% 2.5% 6.4% Outlook for the U.S. Economy Blue Chip Consensus and Global Insight , June 2007 Slide45:  Resale prices drop 7% by 2008 New sales, starts up in 2008 New sales stay below 1 million Tighter lending standards Non residential drops by 2008 Construction Outlook Summary Slide46:  Thousands of Jobs Arizona Construction Jobs Leveling Off in 2007 2005 2007 2006 Slide47:  Jobs Construction Jobs Sand & Gravel - Tons Tons Rock Products and Construction Move Together Over Cycle Slide48:  Arizona Job Growth Outlook: Moderate Gains Ahead Annual Percent Change In Arizona Employment Forecast Source: Arizona Blue Chip Forecast Slide49:  93,000 New Jobs in 2007 Slide50:  Arizona Construction Outlook (Percent Change in Dollar Value) Source: Arizona Blue Chip Forecast Slide51:  Arizona Economic Outlook (Percent Changes vs Previous Year) Source: Arizona Blue Chip Forecast Slide52:  Moderate growth ahead Still a top 5 growth state 93,000 new jobs in 2007 185,000 new residents But yellow flag is out – be alert! Arizona Outlook Summary Slide53:  POTENTIAL RISKS Bird flu Terrorist event Oil price spike Inflation rises Fed over-reacts Credit crunch Recession! Slide54:  [email protected]

Related presentations


Other presentations created by WoodRock

VoIP endfassung
18. 06. 2007
0 views

VoIP endfassung

Lone Wolf Presentation
22. 04. 2008
0 views

Lone Wolf Presentation

Guersenfinal
17. 04. 2008
0 views

Guersenfinal

10 bridge
16. 04. 2008
0 views

10 bridge

Reveiwfinal spring
14. 04. 2008
0 views

Reveiwfinal spring

ch03 edit
13. 04. 2008
0 views

ch03 edit

Howcroft CME
10. 04. 2008
0 views

Howcroft CME

PowerPoint Presentation 2007
07. 04. 2008
0 views

PowerPoint Presentation 2007

Central Asia short
30. 03. 2008
0 views

Central Asia short

APALSAGeneralMeeting
27. 03. 2008
0 views

APALSAGeneralMeeting

elements compounds mixtures
04. 01. 2008
0 views

elements compounds mixtures

Moodle for english teachers
27. 06. 2007
0 views

Moodle for english teachers

YagerDOE2005
17. 09. 2007
0 views

YagerDOE2005

JESSICA2 HKJU Dec 18 2002
17. 09. 2007
0 views

JESSICA2 HKJU Dec 18 2002

wipo smes del 07 www 76775
24. 09. 2007
0 views

wipo smes del 07 www 76775

LDAP Integration
24. 09. 2007
0 views

LDAP Integration

SAR presentation Final
24. 09. 2007
0 views

SAR presentation Final

Politics ml Z
02. 10. 2007
0 views

Politics ml Z

sparkles
04. 10. 2007
0 views

sparkles

Extreme Makeover
17. 09. 2007
0 views

Extreme Makeover

current status ebxml cppa tc
29. 10. 2007
0 views

current status ebxml cppa tc

ast201 2007 lect11
28. 11. 2007
0 views

ast201 2007 lect11

judicial
28. 08. 2007
0 views

judicial

Laptop Security
28. 08. 2007
0 views

Laptop Security

hammer fatriv
28. 08. 2007
0 views

hammer fatriv

Air Monitoring
23. 10. 2007
0 views

Air Monitoring

CONFINED
07. 11. 2007
0 views

CONFINED

Kansas GRB 5
15. 11. 2007
0 views

Kansas GRB 5

ATS
16. 11. 2007
0 views

ATS

Lecture 4 Bioterrorism Dunne
17. 11. 2007
0 views

Lecture 4 Bioterrorism Dunne

wieser sybase
20. 11. 2007
0 views

wieser sybase

rushdie
21. 11. 2007
0 views

rushdie

Napoleon I
26. 11. 2007
0 views

Napoleon I

SonnetOL
11. 08. 2007
0 views

SonnetOL

Steve Lafferty optimized
11. 08. 2007
0 views

Steve Lafferty optimized

Tibetian test 2
11. 08. 2007
0 views

Tibetian test 2

Plumbing an Information Space
02. 01. 2008
0 views

Plumbing an Information Space

Tree of Life 3 11 03
11. 08. 2007
0 views

Tree of Life 3 11 03

savas dangerous offenders
11. 08. 2007
0 views

savas dangerous offenders

Memory Revisited
12. 10. 2007
0 views

Memory Revisited

Dermatology Revision
05. 01. 2008
0 views

Dermatology Revision

FROM THE DISCOVERY OF HELIX
16. 10. 2007
0 views

FROM THE DISCOVERY OF HELIX

504d AACR poster 2005 cfg
30. 10. 2007
0 views

504d AACR poster 2005 cfg

Zeeberg
17. 09. 2007
0 views

Zeeberg

sweep
11. 08. 2007
0 views

sweep

Industrialization Ideology
26. 10. 2007
0 views

Industrialization Ideology

CS438 08 Bridges
28. 12. 2007
0 views

CS438 08 Bridges

sa advocacy
24. 09. 2007
0 views

sa advocacy

CausalArguments
26. 11. 2007
0 views

CausalArguments

JostDeutschAwards
07. 01. 2008
0 views

JostDeutschAwards

Class24ImlicatureExp
19. 02. 2008
0 views

Class24ImlicatureExp

Lars Nord Presentation at HA2005
08. 10. 2007
0 views

Lars Nord Presentation at HA2005

ConEvals
27. 02. 2008
0 views

ConEvals

moodle themes
27. 06. 2007
0 views

moodle themes

Moodle lokalp
27. 06. 2007
0 views

Moodle lokalp

Moodle na UE final
27. 06. 2007
0 views

Moodle na UE final

SIRESENAC06
06. 03. 2008
0 views

SIRESENAC06

Seance 4 Alissa fr
24. 10. 2007
0 views

Seance 4 Alissa fr

SKita gesture
11. 08. 2007
0 views

SKita gesture

8 lessons learnt from nms
18. 03. 2008
0 views

8 lessons learnt from nms

WORKING IN THE EU INSTITUTIONS
20. 03. 2008
0 views

WORKING IN THE EU INSTITUTIONS

semantic web applications
25. 03. 2008
0 views

semantic web applications

FutureofNews
05. 10. 2007
0 views

FutureofNews

sxu 1 05 06
11. 08. 2007
0 views

sxu 1 05 06

canarias
23. 10. 2007
0 views

canarias

Reintegration ProgramFinal
28. 12. 2007
0 views

Reintegration ProgramFinal

G Abaee
22. 11. 2007
0 views

G Abaee

tromsoe
11. 08. 2007
0 views

tromsoe

glazerbusan
12. 10. 2007
0 views

glazerbusan

Stockholm Tutorial June 2001
12. 03. 2008
0 views

Stockholm Tutorial June 2001

TF Rschede
18. 06. 2007
0 views

TF Rschede

telwisa 5
18. 06. 2007
0 views

telwisa 5

Teitler Framework
18. 06. 2007
0 views

Teitler Framework

STRUMENTI tris DI ATTUAZIONE
18. 06. 2007
0 views

STRUMENTI tris DI ATTUAZIONE

strategic plan
18. 06. 2007
0 views

strategic plan

STEROIDS
18. 06. 2007
0 views

STEROIDS

Slide musso taranto
18. 06. 2007
0 views

Slide musso taranto

V 005 Gierke
18. 06. 2007
0 views

V 005 Gierke

Vorlesung BGB AT 1
18. 06. 2007
0 views

Vorlesung BGB AT 1

violenza
18. 06. 2007
0 views

violenza

Varma
18. 06. 2007
0 views

Varma

usenix
18. 06. 2007
0 views

usenix

unter Mitglieder wenn das geht
18. 06. 2007
0 views

unter Mitglieder wenn das geht

Unterrichtsbeobachtu ng
18. 06. 2007
0 views

Unterrichtsbeobachtu ng

Traechtigkeit
18. 06. 2007
0 views

Traechtigkeit

todoslossantosanual
02. 11. 2007
0 views

todoslossantosanual

vortrag we mu 220602
18. 06. 2007
0 views

vortrag we mu 220602

SOR Legal Updates 2006 141962 7
11. 08. 2007
0 views

SOR Legal Updates 2006 141962 7

Bigwood 1
13. 03. 2008
0 views

Bigwood 1

lrec metadata
14. 11. 2007
0 views

lrec metadata

termininfo D2D Konferenz2006
18. 06. 2007
0 views

termininfo D2D Konferenz2006

3320 l09
17. 09. 2007
0 views

3320 l09

typologie
18. 06. 2007
0 views

typologie

antalya
03. 09. 2007
0 views

antalya

sermonpp thy will be done
11. 08. 2007
0 views

sermonpp thy will be done

gabriel
24. 09. 2007
0 views

gabriel

tack2
24. 09. 2007
0 views

tack2

VORTRAG BW
18. 06. 2007
0 views

VORTRAG BW

The Perils of Childhood Obesity
11. 08. 2007
0 views

The Perils of Childhood Obesity

GT TurkeyCountryPresent ation
23. 10. 2007
0 views

GT TurkeyCountryPresent ation

Open Everything 3 9
01. 10. 2007
0 views

Open Everything 3 9

arnaud
28. 09. 2007
0 views

arnaud

file1180026507
22. 10. 2007
0 views

file1180026507

yasinsky
24. 09. 2007
0 views

yasinsky

healthy body esteem
03. 10. 2007
0 views

healthy body esteem

moodle presentation epfl final
27. 06. 2007
0 views

moodle presentation epfl final

37 Yale SA Program Overview 07
24. 09. 2007
0 views

37 Yale SA Program Overview 07

song slides
11. 08. 2007
0 views

song slides

Stuttgart
18. 06. 2007
0 views

Stuttgart

site wsa
29. 02. 2008
0 views

site wsa

pearson
24. 09. 2007
0 views

pearson

09 s4 fr
11. 03. 2008
0 views

09 s4 fr

EPS
17. 10. 2007
0 views

EPS

OARS CRJ 2006
24. 09. 2007
0 views

OARS CRJ 2006

7Paul Hopkin
11. 12. 2007
0 views

7Paul Hopkin

Sofia 29 09 30 02
23. 11. 2007
0 views

Sofia 29 09 30 02

CSI NetSec2004
29. 10. 2007
0 views

CSI NetSec2004

santTOPch11
11. 08. 2007
0 views

santTOPch11

HumanCapitalFINAL
24. 09. 2007
0 views

HumanCapitalFINAL

Carmelo Polino
22. 10. 2007
0 views

Carmelo Polino

Poeplau ECLOUD07
03. 01. 2008
0 views

Poeplau ECLOUD07

peytonap
17. 09. 2007
0 views

peytonap

BUTE 2005feb Milano COST291
16. 10. 2007
0 views

BUTE 2005feb Milano COST291