Conservation_Understanding, Adapting To, and Educating About Climate C

Information about Conservation_Understanding, Adapting To, and Educating About Climate C

Published on July 15, 2014

Author: csimkovich

Source: authorstream.com

Content

PowerPoint Presentation: Developing an Adaptive Planting List Andrew Bell & Shannon Still PowerPoint Presentation: 11% 14.7% 17.2% 22.2% Canopy Cover Acres 1993 1 11% 16,473 2003 2 14.7% 21,864 2008 3 17.2% 25,800 2020 4 20% 29,952 2020 5 22.2% 33,252 Our 2020 Goal in Relation to the Past Assuming the growth trend of 620 acres/year (BAU), we will hit 22.2% by 2020. Chicago’s Urban Tree Canopy has increased from 11% in 1993 (CUFCP) to 17.2% in 2008 (UTC), which is roughly 9,000 acres of new canopy citywide. Over the past 17, the City has planted an average of 620 acres/year. 1992 USDA Forest Service’s CUFCP 2003 IKONOS Satellite Image 2008 RFP Mapping’s UTC Proposed CTI Target BAU Trend line PowerPoint Presentation: 22.2% = 33,252 Acres. Assumes 620 acres/year (BAU or 4,000 acres added today) with no loss. 20% = 30,651 Acres. Assumes 620 acres/year with EAB loss (11% of all trees are Ash). 19.8% = 26,679 Acres. Assumes 540 acres/year (conservative BAU) with EAB loss. 15% = 23,199 Acres. Assumes no expansion with EAB loss. 12.5% = 18,720 Acres. Assumes no expansion with EAB and other devastating loss. A B C D E 2009 2020 PowerPoint Presentation: Developing an Adaptive Planting List PowerPoint Presentation: Developing an Adaptive Planting List • MaxEnt Species Distribution Models. • Projections made using Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling and Analysis (CCCMA) General Circulation Model (GCM) for three emission scenarios. • Three emission scenarios developed by the IPCC that were used: A2a, B2a, and A1a. • Climate layers were sourced from WorldClim for the decades: 2020, 2050, and 2080. PowerPoint Presentation: Developing an Adaptive Planting List PowerPoint Presentation: Fig. 5: Ginkgo biloba ‘Autumn Gold’ projections made with MaxEnt Species Distribution Modeling under A2 High Emissions Climate Scenario. PowerPoint Presentation: Fig. 4: Tilia americana projections made with MaxEnt Species Distribution Modeling under A2 High Emissions Climate Scenario . Tilia americana - Current Tilia americana - 2050 Tilia americana - 2020 Tilia americana - 2080 PowerPoint Presentation: What’s Next? • Continue research to include additional taxa. • Compare results to modeling for native tree range shifts in response climate change. • Serve as advisors to the USDA Forest Service & Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science sponsored project: Urban Forestry Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment. • Incorporate results into 2017 National Climate Assessment Report.

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