FC STONE GREAT WALL1

Information about FC STONE GREAT WALL1

Published on April 17, 2008

Author: Belly

Source: authorstream.com

Content

FC STONE LLC:  FC STONE LLC Ray Mazzeo 雷蒙德.马祖奥 Introduction 开篇介绍:  Introduction 开篇介绍 FUNDAMENTAL and TECHNICAL ANALYSIS of the FUTURES MARKET 有关期货市场的基本面和技术面的分析 RAY MAZZEO,DIRECTOR OF ENERGY FUTURES NEW YORK BRANCH 美国FCStone集团公司纽约分公司能源期货部主任-雷蒙德.马祖奥先生 Topics of Discussion 演讲主题:  Topics of Discussion 演讲主题 How to trade technically and fundamentally to maximize profits 如何从技术面和基本面进行交易并使利润最大化 Fundamental Analysis 基本面因素的分析:  Fundamental Analysis 基本面因素的分析 Energy Inventories 美国能源库存 API/DOE PADD Breakdown 美国石油战略储备的区域划分 SPOT vs. Futures Price 现货价格和期货价格的关系 Local refined product prices 当地精炼产品的价格 Inventory breakdown 美国石油库存的分布:  Inventory breakdown 美国石油库存的分布 Technical 技术层面的分析:  Technical 技术层面的分析 Pattern Recognition 确认形态 Momentum Indicators 趋势发展动力的指标 Ratio Retracement and Measured Move Objectives 回调比例以及回调的目标价位 Pattern Recognition 形态的认定:  Pattern Recognition 形态的认定 Trend lines Support and Resistance 趋势线的支撑位和阻力位 Trend Channels 趋势发展的轨道 Pennants, Flags and Triangles 尖旗形、旗形以及三角形 Examples 图 例:  Examples 图 例 Momentum Indicators 趋势发展动力的指标:  Momentum Indicators 趋势发展动力的指标 Relative Strength Index 相对强弱指数 Moving Average 移动均线 Bullish Consensus 看涨的一致性 Ratio Retracement and Measured Move Objectives 回调比例以及回调的目标价位:  Ratio Retracement and Measured Move Objectives 回调比例以及回调的目标价位 Define move in number of points 通过点位来确定价格运行的阶段 Multiply by .236, .382, .50, .618, .667, .786 用.236、.382、.50、.618、.667、.786与之相乘 Add/subtract result from most recent peak or trough 将上述计算结果从最近的最高价位上减去或者加在最近的最低价位上 Gold 黄金 :  Gold 黄金 Trend channel to the up has defined trading since 2001 从2001年以来,上升的趋势通道一直主宰市场 Choppy and directionless since 4th Quarter 2004 –not a bullish sign 2004年第四季度以来,市场小幅波动、毫无方向-这并不是一个看涨的信号 U.S. Dollar rally carries most of the blame 美元的大幅上涨是其主要原因 COPPER 铜:  COPPER 铜 Copper can spend from ten months to a year at extreme pricing-to carve out a top 铜可以花上十个月到一年的时间维持在一个极端的价位上-从而做出一个顶部形态 Projected demand destruction from high energy costs 市场预期需求将会因为高额的能源成本而减弱 U.S. Dollar firm - negative impact 美元走强-对市场造成利空的影响 NYBOT COTTON 纽约期货交易所的棉花:  NYBOT COTTON 纽约期货交易所的棉花 From October 2003 peak to July 2004 low price only retraced 38% of that sell-off. 从03年10月份市场所创的高点到04年7月份市场所创的低点,价格在那次抛售中只回调了38%。 Cotton falling for fundamental reason-point of last support 4604. 棉花价格是因为供求基本面的原因而下跌-这是上次价格支撑在4604一线的关键点。

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