Published on April 11, 2008
Dr. Gus Koehler: Dr. Gus Koehler Dr. Gus Koehler (Principal Consultant) Time Structures Adjunct Faculty (Regional and Economic Development) at the University of Southern California. Time Structures Focuses on Temporal (Time) Issues Associated with Business and Policy Development and Implementation. Consulting Areas: Planning for Transport Systems to the European Union Computer Public Policy Simulations to RAND California Legislature’s Joint Committee for Preparing California for the 21st Century. NSF grant to Develop a Computer Simulation on the Timing of Public Policy Interventions and the Affects on Industry Clusters. California: California California Redevelopment Association provides policy research and legislative advocacy support. Former Director of Community Colleges Economic Development Program led a successful statewide legislative effort to reauthorize the program, receiving unanimous approval from both Houses and the Governor. Created ten initiatives to directly address workforce and economic development training concerns, the transferring of technology to business, business development services, and international trade. Developed and Implemented a performance reporting system, including ROI and C/B analysis of outcomes. Research: Research Senior Policy Analyst with the California Research Bureau Conducted Policy Research for the California State Legislature The Governor and other elected officials. His research responsibilities included identifying and evaluating state economic development issues and recommending strategies to address them. 27 years in government service in such as areas as disaster response and management, consumer protection, and health services. Technical Advisor and Author: Technical Advisor and Author Provided Technical Advice California Economic Development Strategy Panel, Senate Select Committee on Economic Development California Council on Science and Technology The Workforce Investment Board’s Small Business Advisory Committee The Legislative Internet Caucus The Assembly Standing Committee on Jobs, Economic Development and the Economy Member of the Council of Economic Advisors to the Workforce Investment Board. Prepared public policy reports on Biotechnology, California’s foreign trade policy, bio-industry, small manufacturing, business networks, and California economic development. Received a Small Business Administration Vision 2000 award for his research on early-stage venture capital investment. Written over 100 Academic Articles and Studies Presented Papers and Speeches to various government, academic and private sector organizations. Ph.D. in Political Science and Sociology, University of California at Davis. Connections Make All The Difference: Connections Make All The Difference Gus Koehler Time Structures Sacramento, CA 916-564-8683 [email protected] Slide6: The Problem: A disconnect between the velocity of government and its capacity to envision and manage complex regulatory and programmatic interventions, and the velocity of the regulated sector, producing unexpected future outcomes. The Solution: Ideally, adaptive Governance permits government to pattern an intervention to match the velocity of a regulated sector thereby achieving a desired future goal. Global Competition Factors Affecting Firms and Jobs: Global Competition Factors Affecting Firms and Jobs Trained, productive labor Faster technology churn Rapid product development Price and quality competition Protection or invasion of markets Information technology Flexible strategies Global alliances and networks Global availability of talent Increased innovation globally Converging competitive advantage of high-tech regions Global adoption of Information and Communications technology Regional independence conditioned multinational corporations, new forms of business networking and associated global distribution systems. Firms: Regions: Slide8: California’s “Six-Surge” Economy Civil War WWI Depression 1860 1900 1930 1950 WWII 1970 Vietnam War end Cold War end Bubble burst 2000 1990 2000 Internet Velocity of Government Policy Time: Velocity of Government Policy Time 6 months to 2 years for an issue to become politically visible 10-20 minutes to advocate concept to Legislator or staff 1-2 years to complete legislative process Urgency bill 9 months 10 days to 6 months for emergency regulations 1-2 years for non-emergency regulations 1-2 years to design and staff or seriously change existing government programs 6 months to 1 year to make and refine policy initiatives based on field experience Litigation of various time (years) Nodes, Hubs, And Links: Nodes, Hubs, And Links Node: a point—person at a party for example—having about The same number of links to another (road map) Hub: a point with multiple links to many nodes (airport hub). A B C D E F A F Links: The higher the Connectivity The less the distance, the faster the Dispersion of information, ideas, products Government Nodes and Links: Government Nodes and Links Government Hub: Government Hub Percolation And Links: Percolation And Links 50% Connectivity makes Networks grow like a Forest fire. Think: ideas, information, and products SE Bakersfield: Enterprise Zone: SE Bakersfield: Enterprise Zone Slide18: ETP Connections: Summary: Connections: Summary Government is a hierarchy of nodes. It is rigid, suitable for mass production Economic Development services are resources, ideas and information nodes connected by hubs. They are rhizomic like industry New industry clusters are new connections and rapidly disseminated information, resources, products (percolating) Interlocking policy and management networks create hubs that keep the network productive and reduces vulnerability to failure particularly if percolation is encouraged.